Hand 2: 14th Jan

This week was Dice14 playing four tables of $2/4NL on Full Tilt.

Hand 2

Stack sizes:
UTG: $512.80
Hero: $418.30

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is BB with Jd Jc
UTG raises to $14, 2 folds, Hero raises to $48, UTG calls.

This opponent was a tight player and there would have been some merit to flat-calling with JJ pre-flop here. However, we think that raising is still the best play. It helps to define his hand when you raise, and it gives you the initiative on the flop. We estimated that a rough calling range for him would be any pair (as he does have implied odds), possibly AK/AQ, and occasionally some suited connectors (although these will be very rare).


Flop: Kd Kh 8c ($98, 2 players)
Hero bets $66, UTG calls.

This isn't a great flop against his range as we're probably not going to fold out any better hands. We might get a bit of value from some worse hands (TT/99), and we make a bet. His range for calling this flop is likely to be AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, 88, AK. He could float with AQ, although this is unlikely. Again, he could have 98s or 87s, but this is very unlikely too.


Turn: 8h ($230, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks.

We don't think there's much value in betting the turn here. We might force a fold from QQ, but that's not enough of a reason to bet. He checks behind, which we think he'll do with his entire range.


River: Ah ($230, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $175, Hero folds.

This is a weird river card because it doesn't look good, but it doesn't really affect the values or our hands. We check again and he makes a bet that looks like a value bet. Out of the range we've given him, he'd have to be turning TT/99 into a bluff here quite often to make this a profitable call. We don't think he'd do that very often, and there's a large portion of his range that would value bet this river (AA, AK, KK, 88).


Uncalled bets: $175 returned to UTG.
Results:
Final pot: $230